Introduction
Drug development is a scientific endeavor
and is highly regulated because of
legitimate public health concerns. Drug
development process involves integration
of different expertise, conduct of many
experiments and involvement of lot many
resources, considerable time and
significant cost. It takes about 2 to 12 years
for a new drug for development [1] and the
cost of a new drug development range
from USD$92 million to USD$883.6
million [2]. During the drug development
process, many animals are used for
experiments and during clinical trials,
many human subjects are exposed to the
drug at various dose. Even after spending
lot of resources, time, cost and
experimentation on animals and humans;
the drug may fail to provide desired
clinical efficacy and safety. Only one in
10,000 compounds ever reaches the market
and of those, only one in three ever
recaptures its development costs [1]. There
are many reasons for failure of the drug
candidate during drug development or after
market entry. They are Poor
pharmacokinetic (39%), Lack of efficacy
(30%), Animal toxicity (11%), Adverse
effects in man (10%), Commercial reasons
(5%), Miscellaneous (5%) [3,4] and are
appeared at different stage of drug
development or sometimes after market
entry of the drug. Hence, at each stage of
drug development, the developer needs to
make “go/no-go” decision based on
available information. On one side, it is
good to make “go” decision at each stage
of development based on the available
data, but on other side, it is highly